Dear Mr.----------:
All thoughtful citizens agree
on the obvious desirability. of avoiding or lessening the repeated downward
turns in our economy which diminish both national strength and individual
opportunity. Equally obvious is the importance of the Federal Government's
role and responsibility - as an employer, a consumer, a source of credit,
an example to State and local governments and a stimulus to the rest of
the economy. This general responsibility was recognized by the Congress
in the Employment Act of 1946; and it has been specifically exercised by
a variety of Congressional actions and expenditure authorizations in the
recessions which have continued to plague us since the enactment of that
landmark legislation.
Experience has shown that the
timing of these Federal actions, both Executive and Congressional, can
make a substantial difference in the severity and duration of any particular
recession. The authorization or acceleration of special programs or expenditures
- including those for capital improvements or community facilities - implemented
only after the normal legislative processes, may be too late to achieve
an ameliorating effect on the recession sufficient to justify the increase
in budget expenditures.
Despite the large number of
people currently unemployed - a problem this Administration is attempting
to meet through legislative proposals now before the Congress - recovery
from the 1960-61 recession is proceeding in a satisfactory manner. This
is, therefore, an appropriate time to prepare our defenses against future
economic fluctuations, with a view to benefiting from the lessons of the
last recession and those that preceded it.
I am transmitting with this
letter a draft bill - the Stand-by Capital Improvements Act of 1962 - which
is designed to provide the Federal Government with an invaluable anti-recession
tool. This proposal would provide stand-by authority to the President to
initiate a temporary expansion in Federal and Federally-aided public works
programs, and to make Federal grants and loans for State and local capital
improvements, whenever unemployment rises sharply and the standard indicators
of economic distress reveal that extraordinary action is required to reverse
a serious economic decline.
Recognizing the desire of the
Congress to set the most precise guidelines for this kind of administrative
action, the bill permits this stand-by authority to be exercised only when
"triggered" by a formula suggested after the most careful consideration
and reference to past unemployment statistics. This formula - which would
have signalled, at a date early enough to make action helpful, each recession
our Nation has suffered since World War II but would not have resulted
in any false recession warnings - provides that the program would become
operative when seasonally adjusted unemployment has risen in 3 out of 4,
or 4 out of 6 consecutive months by a total of at least one percentage
point, and after a determination by the President (in case this has resulted
from a major strike or other special factor) that use of the stand-by authority
is necessary to achieve the objectives of the Employment Act of 1946.
This $2 billion emergency program
would, once put into effect, (1) permit a $750 million increase in direct
Federal expenditures for projects previously authorized by law including
resource, conservation and other Federal public works; (2) authorize $750
million matching grants to State and local governments for capital improvement
programs; (3) authorize a $250 million loan program to State and local
governments otherwise unable to finance their share of the costs of projects
for which Federal grants are authorized; and (4) provide an additional
$250 million to be allocated to each of the preceding three programs as
circumstances warrant. All of these projects must meet essential public
needs, must be capable of early initiation and of completion within 12
months, must contribute significantly to reducing unemployment, and must
not merely replace existing public expenditures.
Virtually every community in
the Nation has a backlog of needed capital improvement projects. Certainly
that is true of the Federal Government. An acceleration of these projects
- all worthwhile in their own right - is a wise and proper method of increasing
employment and expenditures at times when such action is urgently needed
to help stabilize our economy.
Also enclosed is a section-by-section
analysis of the proposed bill, prepared by the Housing and Home Finance
Agency. A letter identical to this one is being transmitted today to the
Speaker (President of the Senate).
As I pointed out in my State
of the Union address last month, the time to repair the roof is when the
sun is shining. I urge the Congress to give prompt attention to this vital
legislation, as insurance against a rainy day that we can hope will not
recur, but which experience teaches us we must be prepared to meet.
Sincerely,
JOHN F. KENNEDY