THE PRESIDENT. [ 1.] Good afternoon. I have a brief
preliminary statement. I would like to say a few words about our economic
outlook and program.
I think most financial experts
have realized for some time that an overpriced market could not hold up
once investors recognized that inflation was ending. Price-earning ratios
which averaged on Dow-Jones 23 to 1 could not be justified unless there
was heavy inflation in prospect. And we have been working to prevent inflation,
which gives a very misleading and spurious picture of economic health.
We must not permit the effects of this adjustment, however, to hamper the
growth rate of our economy, with which we have, as you know, not been fully
satisfied. While our recovery from last year's recession has been a good
one, production, profits, and employment are at alltime highs, and the
prospects for continued economic expansion remain favorable. In view of
corporate and consumer cash on hand, we should take every appropriate step
to make certain that recovery is stronger and longer than before and is
not cut short by a new recession.
Taxation: In the first place,
our tax structure as presently weighted exerts too heavy a drain on a prospering
economy, compared, for example, to the net drain in competing Common Market
nations. If the United States were now working at full employment and full
capacity, this would produce a budget surplus at present taxation rates
of about $8 billion this year. It indicates what a heavy tax structure
we have, and it also indicates the effects that this heavy tax structure
has on an economy moving out of a recession period.
We saw that after the '58 recession,
we've seen it after the '60 recession in the last months. We have proposed,
therefore, the following:
One: A $1,300 million tax credit
of 8 percent on new investment in machinery and equipment, which will increase
the typical rate of potential profits on modern plant expansion in this
country to the same extent, for example, as a 20 point reduction in corporate
income taxes, from 52 to 32 percent on the profits to be realized from
a new 10-year asset. The tax bill containing this stimulus and offsetting
revenue measures has been before the Congress for well over a year. And
I am hopeful, particularly, that it can be passed very shortly, because
one of the areas of concern in the economy has been the slowness of plant
investment, and I think that if we can settle this matter of the tail credit
quickly, I think it can have a most stimulating effect on new plant investment
this year.
Two: Administrative revision
of the Internal Revenue guidelines on the economic life of depreciable
assets, to make them more realistic and flexible in terms of actual replacement
practices. These revisions to be issued within the next month will also
make over $1 billion in added cash reserves available for additional business
investment and, thus, these two actions combined, which we hope will be
taken in the next 30 days, constitute in effect a tax cut for American
business of over $2.5 billion.
Three: A comprehensive tax reform
bill which in no way overlaps the pending tax credit and loophole-closing
bill offered a year ago will be offered for action by the next Congress,
making effective as of January 1 of next year an across-the-board reduction
in personal and corporate income tax rates which will not be wholly offset
by other reforms - in other words, a net tax reduction.
Four: I have asked the Congress
to provide standby tax reduction authority to make certain as recommended
by the eminent Commission on Money and Credit, that this tool could be
used instantly and effectively should a new recession threaten to engulf
us. The House Ways and Means Committee has been busy with other important
measures, but there is surely more cause now than ever before for making
such authority available.
Five: I have asked the Congress
to repeal the 10-percent transportation tax on train and bus travel, resulting
in a tax saving of $90 million a year, and to reduce it to 5 percent on
airlines. Action on this tax package will provide our economy with all
the stimulus and safeguards now deemed necessary, and I hope such action
will be forthcoming.
Mention should be made also
of other measures already pending before the Congress which would be of
immediate help to our economic expansion and our unemployed workers. A
bill to help youth employment - and one out of every four of our boys and
girls out of school under 20 are unemployed - a bill to help youth employment
has been pending before the Rules Committee since March 29. I hope action
can be taken on it.
A bill to authorize Federal,
State, and local public works this year in areas of heavy unemployment
and to provide standby authority for the future has already passed the
Senate. Inasmuch as last year's temporary unemployment compensation program
has benefited no additional unemployed since April 1, a pending bill to
extend that program for 1 year should be passed by the Congress before
they go home. Every week thousands of people find their unemployment compensation
exhausting, must go on public assistance, and this should be a matter of
great concern to all of us.
Improvements in our welfare
program to help those at the bottom of the economic ladder passed the House
on March 15. Other pending bills - the trade bill, the pay reform bill,
and others - will all have a beneficial effect on our economy once they
are enacted by the Congress. There is no need for this country to stand
helplessly by and watch a recovery run out of gas. We have a program to
boost it and I hope that all those who are concerned about their stocks
or their profits or their jobs will help us get action on this program.
I have full confidence in the
basic strength and economic potential of this country and the free world.
We in the United States, business, labor, and the government, all of us
working together, rather than at cross purposes, must rise to our responsibilities
to maintain the forward thrust of our economy. The economic productivity
and potential of the United States is the heart of our strength. Unemployment
last month declined. Consumer income has been rising rapidly. New homes
are being built at a remarkable rate. And this administration intends to
do its full share of the task required to realize our full economic potential.
Q. Mr. President, I take it
from your statement that you have no intention of recommending a tax cut
to take effect before next year. Would you confirm that? And also tell
us if you can envision any circumstances which would require tax reduction
before next year?
THE PRESIDENT. I think my statement
goes into the various tax proposals that we make in some detail. Of course,
this is our best judgment at this time. Of course, if new circumstances
brought a new situation, then we would have to make other judgments.
But this is our judgment and we believe that this is the most responsible
and effective line to take. And I think that if we get action in all the
areas which I have described - and they are all very possible - that we
can provide a good sustaining lift to the economy.
Q. Mr. President, in the same
subject, can you discuss any thinking on rates or how far the reduction
will go that you intend to propose in January? And second, sir, if you
don't get some of these provisions or proposals which you regard as quite
vital, are you thinking in terms of asking Congress to return in the fall
if they don't pass them, say, by mid-September?
THE PRESIDENT. Well, I think
the tax - the proposed tax bill you are talking about for next January,
the work on it should be completed later in the summer. So at that time
I think we could discuss it in more detail.
On the other matter, I would
- already it has passed the House. The depreciation we can do by administrative
action, and we are going to do that, and, as I say, that amounts to over
$1 billion. That will be completed in the next 30 days. It has already
been done in the textile industry. But the whole job will be completed
in the next 3o days.
The other bill, the tax credit,
has passed the House. It is now in the Senate Finance Committee. It can
be of most valuable assistance in the area where our economy has had the
most difficulty, and that is on the question of plant investment. So that
if you could put these two together, as I said, it amounts to $2,500 million,
and I think would be of great assistance to the economy. So I am very hopeful
that the Senate will act on this legislation. If they do not, of course
we will have to take a look at the situation. But this bill was proposed
last year, and a year now has gone by, and now we are going through other
months. I think the very fact that some companies are uncertain as to whether
they are going to get the tax credit does have a depressing effect upon
their investment plans.
[ 2.] Q. Mr. President, there
is a report, unofficial report, from Paris this afternoon that a meeting
between you and General de Gaulle is in the process of being arranged.
Is this correct?
THE PRESIDENT. No, I haven't
heard that. No.
[ 3.] Q. Mr. President, why
do you think the Senate voted so sharply yesterday to tie your hands on
sending aid to Communist countries, especially in defiance of pleas from
the White House on the point? And do you think anything can be done to
rectify the situation beyond the amendment put in today on food?
THE PRESIDENT. Well, the amendment
that was put in today on food will be very helpful, because the primary
assistance that we have been giving, for example, to Poland, has been through
food. In addition, it permits the private organizations to continue to
function.
In Yugoslavia we have been giving
aid in food; there was some limited development assistance which would
not be possible under the Senate amendment. There has been a good deal,
of course, of frustration about these programs. They have been under attack
for many years and we've carried this aid program since the Marshall plan
days, and I suppose people do get tired. But our adversaries are not tired.
The desire of people to remain independent - the Polish people want
to be independent, they are not Communist by choice but by hard circumstances
forced upon them, and I think that we should continue to hold out some
hope for them. We are not prepared to take military action to free them,
quite obviously, and we did not undertake anything like that during the
Hungary revolt, but I do think that we should not slam the door in their
face. So that I am glad that the Senate went as far as it went today.
Yugoslavia has been more complicated,
and I know that the programs of assistance have been under attack, but
the primary assistance now is foodstuffs and it has been quite limited.
But Yugoslavia is not a member of the Warsaw bloc. The break between Yugoslavia
and the Soviet Union in the late forties probably did more to maintain
the independence of Greece, when that border was closed, than any other
single action. And those who were associated with that effort know how
close it was in Greece, and I think there is an advantage in encouraging
national independence. We may not approve of the government of Yugoslavia,
or they may not approve of our government, but at least they have maintained
an independent status in regard to joining the Warsaw bloc, or in regard
to their dependence upon Moscow. Now, that might change. In that case,
of course, our policy could change. But I do think that flexibility is
necessary. No one has any idea what the circumstances will be in the next
12 months. We might find it necessary or desirable to give some assistance
to a country which was following an independent policy; we might find the
language of yesterday denying us that flexibility. I am glad the Senate
went back as far as it did. I do think that they should give us the right
to give assistance when we deem it in the national interest. I remember
this fight was made under President Eisenhower and I supported his efforts
at that time to maintain this flexibility - on two occasions - and I am
glad at least we have had given some flexibility by the action of the Senate
today.
[ 4.] Q. Mr. President, in your
introductory statement, you didn't mention two items which are in this
year's tax bill, the withholding on dividends and interest, and the payments
on earnings of American firms overseas before those earnings are repatriated.
Are you prepared to relinquish this request now or to postpone it until
next year?
THE PRESIDENT. No, the major
one of course, which is the withholding, is not a new tax. That tax is
on the books today and has been for many years. All we are now talking
about is a more effective way of collecting a tax. So that is not a new
tax.
Now, the other tax of course
is the tax on so-called tax havens, and on dividend - and on money, which
would put those companies on a basis comparable to American companies.
This has been tied to making it less attractive to American capital to
leave this country. That is the purpose of that amendment and I am hopeful
that it will pass, in as close a form as it is possible to what it was
when we introduced it, because the gold flow concerns us all.
But those taxes, in my opinion,
represent responsible actions. But what I was talking about is the stimulus
that will be given by the total tax package - putting all this together
to the American business, plus the depreciation, of course, which represents,
as I say, a clear gain for business.
[ 5.] Q. Mr. President,
in connection with the aid fight in the Senate yesterday, there continue
to be reports that you are dissatisfied with the reorganization of the
aid program administratively. Could you discuss that?
THE PRESIDENT. Well, no, that
is not correct. I am concerned about the progress we are making in the
Alliance for Progress. I think the aid agency has made important gains.
I think the long-range authorization which was given to us by the Congress
last year has been most helpful, and I think we benefited from it in our
programs. It permitted us to associate in consortiums which I think have
produced much better economic planning. The matter, of course, of primary
concern to me is the Alliance for Progress. We are engaged in a tremendous
new joint venture. All these countries are faced with very difficult economic
problems - balance of payments problems, great dependence on one or two
commodities, raw materials which suffer in price fluctuations, and all
such internal difficulties as we've seen in the case of two or three countries
in the last month. So that we are not dealing with a situation even as
stable as it was in Europe at the end of World War II when we began the
Marshall plan. So that this matter continues to be of concern to me, that
the Alliance move forward.
But I would say that generally
I think that the aid agency is improved over what the situation was before
the Congress gave us the additional tools.
[ 6.] Q. Mr. President, last
Friday, John Bailey, the Democratic National Chairman, made a speech in
which he accused Governor Rockefeller of racial prejudice toward Negroes.
I wonder if you felt even in an election year this was a justified statement.
THE PRESIDENT. No, I don't think
- I haven't seen any evidence that Mr. Rockefeller is prejudiced in any
way towards any racial group. I am glad to make that statement, and I am
sure that some of the statements the Congressman - the Chairman of the
Republican Committee - has made about me will be, I am sure, similarly
repudiated by leading Republicans. [Laughter] I have been waiting
for it for about a year and a half!
[ 7.] Q. Mr. President, you
have given Congress an awful lot to chew in this session and some of them
are getting a little impatient, this being a campaign year. Do you think
that the Congress ought to stick around, at least until Labor Day or later,
nonetheless, to get through the bulk of this program, or do you propose
to give them some top priority list and say, that is it?
THE PRESIDENT. Well, I'm sure
we'll probably have to come to a priority, as you say. Time is coming on,
it is election year, and the Congress wants to get home. These programs
are important, however. Going down the list: medical care for the aged,
youth employment, aid for higher education, the trade bill, the tax bill,
there's a good many of very great importance so that the normal authorizations
and appropriations - the legislation which I named here - it's hard to
pick a list. But obviously, we're going to have to, because we've only
got a limited time left.
[ 8.] Q. Mr. President, can
you give us your first impression on the Inter-American Center proposal
which was presented to you today?
THE PRESIDENT. Well, I listened
to the presentation. I'm going to have a meeting with the Department of
Commerce to listen to it in more detail and then, with the Senators and
Congressmen who are involved, see if we can come to some decision about
it.
[ 9.] Q. Mr. President, there
have been persistent reports that either the American Government or Britain
intends to offer nuclear information or equipment to France in order to
get better terms for Britain to enter the Common Market or to improve relations
with General de Gaulle. I think the latest version is that General Gavin
is to come to Washington with an alleged recommendation that American nuclear
equipment be provided. What do you think of this concept?
THE PRESIDENT. I think these
matters are not related. Secondly, General Gavin, I think, has already
issued a statement in regard to his position. He had not planned to come
to Washington. I think he was going to address a commencement audience
in New England next week, and that was the purpose for which he was coming
back. But I don't think the matters are related, and - either in the minds
of the French or in the minds of the United States.
[ 10.] Q. Mr. President, this
is a question about American and British aid to Egypt. In Cairo in March
I was told that you and President Nasser had engaged in a rather extensive
correspondence, not all of which has been made public. And I wondered if
he told you anything in that, that you can tell us, about his Middle East
activities or gave any assurances that would make him more eligible for
aid now than he used to be?
THE PRESIDENT. No, I don't know
about that. We haven't had any extensive correspondence, and as you know,
most of the assistance we have been giving Egypt has been in foodstuffs.
We continue to attempt to have good relations with the U.A.R., but I have
received no information or assurances from President Nasser in regard to
any future policy decisions which he might make.
[ 11.] Q. Mr. President, did
you meet with some Spanish Republicans in Caracas in December of 1961 ?
And did you tell them that you would work to overthrow the Franco Government
in Spain?
THE PRESIDENT. The answer to
both questions is no.
[ 12.] Q. Mr. President, do
you believe that the economy will reach the 4 percent unemployment target
that you have set for mid-1963, with a balanced budget in the fiscal year?
THE PRESIDENT. Obviously we
are going to have to wait and make a judgment as to whether we are going
to reach 4 percent. We are down to substantially lower, of course, than
it has been - unemployment, but still not satisfactory. And I think it
would be impossible to make a precise judgment today about whether we are
going to reach that figure.
[ 13.] Q. Mr. President,
could you clarify the situation on medical care legislation? The opponents
of the administration measure, the Anderson-King bill, which is tied to
social security, say that the passage of that law or that measure would
cause the repeal of the Kerr-Mills law, which now affects protection for
certain needy. Are these the facts ?
THE PRESIDENT. No, the fact
- in fact, the argument against passing the Anderson-King - one of the
arguments has been that there are some people who were not involved and
covered by Social Security. But they would still be covered by present
law. They'd still be covered by the Kerr-Mills bill. It doesn't seem to
me that that is a substantial argument against covering nearly 14 million
other people who are entitled and - who are covered by Social Security.
In addition, it may be possible to take other measures, to provide additional
assistance for those who were not covered by Social Security. Many States,
as you know, of course, have not passed the Kerr-Mills, I don't think that
the State that the A.M.A. spokesman comes from - Dr. Annis - has passed
the Kerr-Mills bill, enabling legislation on the State level.
I think that we ought to pass
the King-Anderson bill, medical care for the aged under Social Security.
And I think the argument that we shouldn't do it because we're not going
to be able to include everybody under it seems to me to be wholly misleading.
We can include 14 million people, and we can continue the legislation we
have on the books for the others, and in addition we can take additional
special steps for them, which I would support.
[ 14.] Q. Mr. President,
yesterday, the Mexican Ambassador to the Organization of American States
made some statements which could be regarded as offensive to some of your
appointees, to this country and to its residents. Normally, when an official
spokesman for a country makes such a comment it could be construed as a
deliberate way of withdrawing an invitation for a visit, which has been
extended to you. Could you comment?
THE PRESIDENT. No, I have seen
- no, as far as I know, and I am sure I know, the invitation by the Mexican
Government stands, and I am sure that this is a matter which the Mexican
Government themselves can deal with more effectively than I could. The
OAS is an international body, and that speech - statements are made in
debate, and I think this is really a matter between the representative
and his own government rather than between this government and the Ambassador.
[ 15.] Q. Mr. President, Republicans
in Congress put out a statement of policy today, which among other things,
says this: a stable dollar is not likely to result if control of the Federal
Reserve System rests in the White House. This is taken to be an attack
on your proposal that the President have authority to appoint his own Federal
Reserve Chairman. How important is this to you?
THE PRESIDENT. First, the point
of the matter is that what we have proposed is with the strong support
of the Chairman of the Federal Reserve, that the term of the Chairman be
the same as with the President, which was the original intention of the
legislation when it was first passed. But it has no effect upon me, if
that is what they are thinking of, which I presume they are, because the
matter of the Chairman's position comes up in 1963. So that I have no -
if I were anxious to get control of the Federal Reserve, the matter comes
up in 1963. What we are talking about is for other Presidents in other
days. And it is a reform which the Chairman of the Federal Reserve, the
Commission on Money and Credit, and many others have thought would be very
helpful in the liaison between the President and the Federal Reserve.
We, after all, are very closely
associated in our responsibilities, though the Federal Reserve is independent
and reports to the Congress. So that it has no application to me, and it
is like a good many other things that are said. They are not wholly based
on fact, but they sound rather good when those speeches are made.
[ 16.] Q. Mr. President, do
your economic counselors still believe that the gross national product
will reach $570 billion this year and do they also believe that you can
balance the Federal budget in the fiscal year?
THE PRESIDENT. They are - I
would think they are not as convinced as they were that we will be up to
$570 billion. But we will, I think, have a good chance, if we carry out
the steps I recommended, of being close to $570 billion.
As I say, we had the best month,
almost, in our history in autos; houses are up, personal savings are up,
actually consumer goods are moving very fast. The one area which is causing
concern in the economy has been plant investment, which has not been as
high as they originally hoped it would be in January.
Now, if we can, by the various
tax measures I have discussed, and by other steps which may become useful
as time goes on, give sufficient demand so that business can go into new
plant investment, or be persuaded to, encouraged to, then we can make this
a very good year. It's going to be, we hope, a good year anyway, but I
don't think we can get to $570 billion unless plant investment steps up
beyond the projected 8 percent. And quite obviously, the sharp decline
in the market is not - certainly is bound to make it somewhat more difficult,
though it is - I believe there is very strong - there is very good vitality
in the economy and I think it can be substantially boosted by the steps
I've recommended.
[ 17.] Q. Mr. President, in
connection with your January tax proposal, for next January, without going
into rates can you give us any idea of the range of the net tax cut that
you are thinking of, in total amount?
THE PRESIDENT. No, I think it
would be better to wait until the program is completed.
[ 18.] Q. Mr. President, can
you comment on the Public Health Service announcement of a special panel
of experts to study whether there is a link between cigarette smoking and
certain killer diseases? And can you tell us whether the study will be
a matter of months or years, or just what the---
THE PRESIDENT. Well, I think
the statement that the Surgeon General issued this morning, I think, gives
the position of the Surgeon General, which I have supported, and is in
direct response to the question which you asked a weeks ago, and now that
the survey will take some months - it will go into 1963, but I think that
that announcement is in response to your question. You've been answered.
[ 19.] Q. Mr. President, the
National Advisory Committee on Radiation has reported that there are serious
gaps in our fallout detection and surveillance and monitoring system. And
they have recommended a very substantial increase in spending over the
next 7 years that will amount to almost half a billion dollars. Can you
give us your reaction to this, and whether or not it is being seriously
considered, or whether you feel that we should increase our funds by that
much?
THE PRESIDENT. I couldn't make
a judgment on that yet. I think that we ought to do more than we're doing
but we have not determined on our program as yet.
[ 20.] Q. Mr. President, could
you tell us how you size up Mr. Nixon's showing in California, and give
us any inkling of your own political plans this fall?
THE PRESIDENT. No, the primaries
are difficult - [laughter] - and I think that he emerged from a
tough one, which I congratulate him for. Now, as far as my plans, I will
be active in the fall, but we haven't fixed a definite schedule.
[ 21.] Q. Mr. President, that
Republican statement you mentioned earlier, called the "Declaration of
Party Principles," charges, among lots of other things, bankruptcy in leadership
in foreign affairs and incompetence of the New Frontier destroying confidence.
Would you care to comment upon that, Sir?
THE PRESIDENT. It isn't true,
but - no.
[ 22.] Q. Mr. President, the
three princes of Laos are getting together at last in the formation of
a coalition government. Assuming that such a government should be agreed
upon, to what extent would the United States go in backing it up economically,
and to what extent would we expect them to preserve a neutral policy?
THE PRESIDENT. Well, the first
talks were encouraging. If it worked out and we had a neutral and independent
Laos, we would of course support it with every proper means, and we would
hope it would be able to maintain its position of being neutral and independent.
Reporter: Thank you, Mr. President.
THE PRESIDENT. I have one more.
[Laughter]
[ 23.] Q. Mr. President, there
seems to be a serious disagreement between you and Mayor Wagner of New
York about the reelection of Congressman Buckley. Do you feel this is a
serious split and are you doing anything to heal this split either between
you and the mayor, or the split in the New York party?
THE PRESIDENT. Mr. Smith was
right, as usual! [Laughter]
No, we have a different opinion
about it, and we've made, our views known, and I am continuing to hold
mine and I am sure he does. I am for Congressman Buckley and he's for someone
else, and that's the way it's going to be, I guess.