Mr. White, Dean Sayre, distinguished guests - gentlemen:
I want, first of all, to express
my personal thanks to all of you for having come to our city, and for participating
in what I hope will be a most useful and helpful proceeding which will
benefit this Government and our country.
It has recently been suggested
that whether I serve one or two terms in the Presidency, I will find myself
at the end of that period at what might be called the awkward age-too old
to begin a new career and too young to write my memoirs.
A similar dilemma, it seems
to me, is posed by the occasion of a Presidential address to a business
group on business conditions less than four weeks after entering the White
House - for it is too early to be claiming credit for the new administration
and too late to be blaming the old one. And it would be premature to seek
your support in the next election, and inaccurate to express thanks for
having had it in the last one.
I feel, nevertheless, that I
can claim kinship here, and have that claim allowed. For I am convinced
that the real spirit of American business is not represented by those involved
in price-fixing, conflict-of-interest, or collusion. The real spirit is
in this room - in your recognition of your public responsibilities, your
pursuit of the truth, your desire for better industrial relations, better
technological progress, and better price stability and economic growth.
And because your organization portrays that picture of American
business, I am delighted and proud to be here with you.
The complaint has often been
made in business circles that the Federal Government is a "silent partner"
in every corporation - taking roughly half of all of your net earnings
without risk to itself. But it should be also realized that this makes
business a not always "silent partner" of the Federal Government - that
our revenues and thus our success are dependent upon your profits and your
success - and that, far from being natural enemies, Government and business
are necessary allies.
For example, the 1960 drop in
expected corporate profits of some six to seven billion dollars also caused
a loss in Federal revenues of over three billion dollars - enough to pay
the Federal share of all of our anti-recession, health, and education proposals
for the next fiscal year and still have enough left over to start closing
what the Democrats in this administration used to call "The Missile Gap."
An equally critical gap separates
the tax revenues of a lagging economy from those which are potentially
within our grasp: a gap of at least twelve billion dollars. Even after
we are able to launch every program necessary for national security and
development, this amount of revenue would still leave a substantial surplus
- a surplus essential to help defend our economy against inflation - and,
equally important, a surplus that, when applied to the Federal debt, would
free additional savings for business investment and expansion.
In short, there is no inevitable
clash between the public and the private sectors - or between investment
and consumption - nor, as I have said, between Government and business.
All elements in our national economic growth are interdependent. Each must
play its proper role - and that is the hope and the aim of this administration.
If those of you who are in the
world of business, and we who are in the world of government, are necessarily
partners, what kind of a partnership is this going to be? Will it be marked
by mutual suspicion and recrimination, or by mutual understanding and fruitful
collaboration?
On behalf of my associates in
the Cabinet, I want to be very precise: we will not discriminate for or
against any segment of our society, or any segment of the business community.
We are vigorously opposed to corruption and monopoly and human exploitation
- but we are not opposed to business.
We know that your success and
ours are intertwined - that you have facts and knowhow that we need. Whatever
past differences may have existed, we seek more than an attitude of truce,
more than a treaty - we seek the spirit of a full-fledged alliance.
Today, I would briefly mention
three areas of common concern to which that alliance must be devoted in
the next few years: economic growth, plant modernization, and price stability.
I.
First: Economic growth has come
to resemble the Washington weather - everyone talks about it, no one says
precisely what to do about it, and our only satisfaction is that it can't
get any worse.
The economic program which I
have set before the Congress is essentially a program for recovery - and
I do not equate recovery with growth. But it is an essential first step.
Only by putting millions of people back to work can we expand purchasing
power and markets. Only by higher income and profits can we provide the
incentive and the means for increased investment. And only when we are
using our plant at near capacity can we expect any solid expansion.
Capacity operation is the key.
No matter what other arguments or stimulants are used, the incentives for
investing new capital to expand manufacturing plants and equipment are
weak as long as manufacturers are operating at less than 80 percent of
their capacity. From 1950 to 1958, we put only one-sixth of our total output
into capital formation, while Japan, Germany, Italy, the Netherlands, Canada,
and Sweden were all investing one-fifth or more of their total output in
capital goods. So it is not surprising that each of these and other nations
over the past several years have all surpassed us in average annual rate
of economic growth.
I think we can do better. Working
together, business and Government must do better - putting people back
to work, using plants to capacity, and spurring savings and investments
with at least a large part of our economic gains - beginning not when our
economy is back at the top, but beginning now.
II.
Secondly: New plant investment
not only means expansion of capacity - it means modernization as well.
Gleaming new factories and headlines about automation have diverted our
attention from an aging industrial plant. Obsolescence is slowing down
our growth, handicapping our productivity, and worsening our competitive
position abroad.
Nothing can reverse our balance
of payments deficit if American machinery and equipment cannot produce
the newest products of the highest quality in the most efficient manner.
The available evidence on the age of our industrial plant is unofficial
and fragmentary; but the trend is unmistakable - we are falling behind.
The average age of equipment
in American factories today is about 9 years. In a dynamic economy, that
average should be falling, as new equipment is put into place. Instead
the available evidence suggests that it has been slowly rising.
Private surveys of machine tools
used by manufacturers of general industrial equipment found less than half
of these tools over 10 years old in 1949, but 2/3 over that age in 1958.
Nineteen percent of our machine tools were found to be over 20 years old.
Meanwhile, other countries have
been lowering the average age of their fixed capital. The German example
is the most spectacular - their proportion of capital equipment and plant
under 5 years of age grew from one-sixth of the total in 1948 to two-fifths
in 1957.
All of these facts point in
one direction: we must start now to provide additional stimulus to the
modernization of American industrial plants. Within the next few weeks,
I shall propose to the Congress a new tax incentive for businesses to expand
their normal investment in plant and equipment.
But modernization and productivity
depend upon more than investment in physical resources. Equally essential
is investment in human resources. And I think that this is obvious to those
of us who have considered the problems of unemployment and depressed areas.
There is no doubt that the maximum impact of a reducing economy falls upon
those who are at the bottom of the educational ladder. The first people
unemployed are those with the least education, the last people to be hired
back are those with the least education. So there is a direct connection
between increased emphasis on education in this country and also upon increased
productivity and technological change.
Without strengthened programs
for health, education, and science and research, the new modern plant would
only be a hollow shell. Many of these programs are within the province
of State and local governments. Full recovery will increase the tax revenues
that they so sorely need. But the Federal Government will have to pay its
fair share of developing these human resources.
III.
Finally, Government and business
must turn their attention to the problem of price stability. Concern over
the resumption of inflationary pressures hangs over all our efforts to
restore the economy, to stimulate its growth, and to maintain our competitive
status abroad. In recent days, complaints have been voiced in some quarters
that this administration was not meeting its responsibilities in this area.
But the facts are that, whatever one may regard our responsibilities to
be, we are almost totally without direct and enforceable powers over the
central problem. A free government in a free society has only a limited
influence - provided that they are above the minimum - over prices and
wages freely set and bargained for by free individuals and free enterprises.
And this is as it should be if our economy is to remain free.
Nevertheless, the public interest
in major wage and price determinations is substantial. Ways must be found
to bring that public interest before the parties concerned in a fair and
orderly manner.
For this reason, I have announced
my determination to establish a Presidential Advisory Committee on Labor-Management
Policy, with members drawn from labor, management and the public. I want
this Committee to play a major role in helping promote sound wage and price
policies, productivity increases, and a betterment of America's competitive
position in world markets. I will look to this Committee to make an important
contribution to labor-management relations, and to a wider understanding
of their impact on price stability and our economic health. And in this
undertaking, I ask and urge the constructive cooperation of this organization
and its members.