Mr. BOWLES. Mr. Speaker, earlier
this month on May 4 and 5, the Committee for International Economic Growth
sponsored a highly significant conference here in Washington on the subject
of "India and the United States, 1959."
References have been made previously
here in the Congress to the contributions made at the conference by a wide
cross section of outstanding commentators on Indian-American relations.
Among the most eloquent and
effective of the speeches delivered at the conference was one entitled
"The Basis of U.S. Interest in India - Its New Dimensions" by the distinguished
junior Senator from Massachusetts, the Honorable John F. Kennedy.
Senator Kennedy's interest and
concern for the future of free India has been enormously heartening to
all of us who feel as he does, that India's success or failure will determine
the future of freedom in Asia.
In his conference speech, Senator
Kennedy demonstrated again, as he has on many occasions in recent years,
a succinct and imaginative grasp of the economic, political, and strategic
role of India in Asia. I think that speech admirably reflects the kind
of leadership which Senator Kennedy is devoting to this subject, both in
his legislative capacity in the U.S. Senate, and in his outside contribution
to public awareness of this vital question.
Under leave to extend my remarks
I include the text of his speech as follows:
THE BASIS OF U.S. INTEREST IN INDIA - ITS NEW DIMENSIONS
(Remarks by U.S. Senator John F. Kennedy, Democrat, of Massachusetts, Conference on India and the United States, 1959, sponsored by the Committee for International Economic Growth, Washington, D.C., May 4 and 5, 1959)
No struggle in the world today
deserves more of our time and attention than that which now grips the attention
of all Asia. I am not referring to the unhappy tide of events in Tibet,
where the world is being shown once again that man's eternal desire to
be free can never be suppressed. Nor am I referring to the intermittent
hostilities that endanger the Formosan Strait, or the truce lines in Korea
and Indochina. I am referring to another struggle equally fierce but less
obvious - less in the headlines but far more significant in the long run.
And that is the struggle between
India and China for leadership of the East, for the respect of all Asia,
for the opportunity to demonstrate whose way of life is the better.
The battle may be more subtle
than loud - it may not even be admitted by either side - but it is a very
real battle nonetheless. For it is these two countries that have the greatest
magnetic attraction to the uncommitteed and underdeveloped world. It is
these two countries which offer a potential route of transition from economic
stagnation to economic growth. India follows a route in keeping with human
dignity and individual freedom, with only haphazard assistance from this
country. Red China represents the route of regimented controls and ruthless
denial of human rights, with considerable aid from the U.S.S.R.
It should be obvious that the
outcome of this competition will vitally affect the security and standing
of this Nation. But do we fully realize how it is coming out? Both China
and India began their development efforts at about the same time - 1950.
They started with similar economic structures, similar standards of living,
and similar problems of skilled labor and natural resources. Actually India
had some advantages - in transportation and trained personnel, for example.
But the harsh facts of the matter
are that in the last decade China has surged ahead of India in most sectors
of its economy. Its gross national output has expanded about three times
as fast. In terms of industrial capacity, investment, education, and even
household consumption China has slowly pulled up and now moved ahead. Its
food production has nearly doubled, while India's has increased by less
than 50 percent. By the most authoritative estimates, at present levels
of agricultural growth, India will have by 1965 a food production deficit
of over 25 million tons, a gap which cannot be filled by any foreign aid
or domestic rationing program.
In steel production, China has
moved from a position of inferiority to marked superiority. In 1950 China
produced as much steel as Great Britain did in 1880. By 1958 China has
moved to a point of productive superiority in steel to modern Great Britain
today - and is making equal growth in coal and other major ingredients
of national strength. Chou En-lai declared at the party congress this past
month: "It took us only 6 years to achieve in steel production what took
Britain more than 50 years."
Since 1952 China has tripled
the number of engineers and technicians in its industries and added 4 million
workers to its skilled labor force.
Last year, China's rate of economic
growth was at least three times as high as India's. Perhaps her official
figures which claim to have doubled both agricultural and steel production
may be discounted - but the fact remains that they are based on a hard
record of fact compared to the sagging performance in India - and this
is the record which has great appeal to those nations uncertain of which
route they should follow.
Within the last year the Chinese
have produced their first automobile. Within the next year they may have
launched their first earth satellite. Even more seriously, they may well
begin to take their place among the select company of nuclear powers. And
perhaps equally significant for the future is the fact that China has become
a major trading nation, not only in southeast Asia, where she is gradually
supplanting Japan, but also in the growing trade movements to Europe and
Africa. Indian primary products such as manganese ore and oilseed, for
example now suffer heavily as a result of China's price competition. Red
China is now able to repay its loans from the Communist bloc, while India
is not only in need of considerable further assistance, but has been forced
to drastically reduce its foreign exchange reserves to meet its investment
gap.
For the first time in modern
history a government appears to have found a way - however brutal its human
defects - which appears to solve the problems of large peasant underemployment
and labor surplus. The mobilization of the unemployed mass of Chinese rural
workers through economic communes, cottage industry, small pig-iron schemes
and all the rest is an achievement whose political and intellectual impact
in less developed areas is bound to be immense.
For the ambitious goals and
growth of both the Russians and the Chinese are major political influences
throughout the newly awakened world. The sturdy confidence of the Red Chinese
is measured against the uncertainties of the Indian Government. The Chinese
leader, moreover, boasts that within the next year China will make still
further leaps into the future. He promises that the total value of agricultural
and industrial output will rise by as much as 40 percent in 1 year. He
hopes, for example, to raise coal output by 110 million tons in 1959 alone.
Even if these hopes cannot be
fulfilled, in India - by contrast - targets are wavering. Hopes are set
upon maintaining a real rate of growth of only 2 to 3 percent. This year
the Indian population will rise. Increased agricultural output may not
even feed the nearly 8 million new mouths of India's exploding population
this year. It is in this setting that we consider this challenge, not by
playing down and depreciating the very real physical achievements of China,
but rather by determining to match these achievements in India by a real
record of performance consistent with our ideals and democratic methods.
For the struggle is not over,
and the potentialities for gain in India are still great. In the Chinese
language, the word "crisis" is composed of two characters, one representing
danger, and one representing opportunity. The danger now is clear. But
let us also make the most of our opportunities. For if they are lost now,
they may never come again.
India's population represents
40 percent of the uncommitted world. It is larger than the total populations
of the continents of Africa and South America combined. Unless India is
able to demonstrate an ability at least equal to that of China to make
the transition from economic stagnation to growth, so that it can get ahead
of its exploding population, the entire free world will suffer a serious
reverse. India herself will be gripped by frustration and political instability,
its role as a counter to the Red Chinese will be lost, and communism would
have won its greatest bloodless victory.
So let there be no mistake about
the nature of the crisis - both the danger and the opportunity. And let
there be no mistake about the urgency of our participation in this struggle.
It is not enough that we participate on a crash basis, for temporary relief.
We must be willing to join with other Western nations in a serious long-range
program of long-term loans, backed up by technical and agricultural assistance,
designed to enable India to overtake the challenge of Communist China.
The tool for this program can well be the Development Loan Fund.
I have joined with Senator Fulbright
in proposing that the operations of the Development Loan Fund be stabilized
and its scale increased by placing it on a 5-year basis with authority
to loan up to $1.5 billion a year. If by next year we can build up the
resources of the Development Loan Fund to this level with assurance of
continuity, then the United States will be in a position to exercise real
leverage on the economic growth of the less developed countries and to
give international leadership in the common efforts of the free world.
We should embark on these reforms not at some indeterminate date in the
future, but this year when there are real opportunities to seize.
Our assistance thus far has
been limited to emergency aid to meet immediate crises and existing shortages.
We have not met the requirements essential for long-range economic growth
- nor have we alleviated the harsh realities which India faced a year ago.
Her population continues nearly to outpace her economic development her
shortage of foreign exchange continues to increase, and a general loss
of hope and morale continues to spread.
This is the critical year for
India. This is the year when the second 5-year plan will prove to be either
fruitful or futile. This is also the year when the third plan beginning
in 1961 will be designed. This is the year, in short, when India must appraise
her future and her relations with the rest of the world.
I do not say that India could
not tread water for a few more years before going under. But this is the
year the Indians need confidence that they can plan major efforts for long-range
progress with some assurance of substantial, long-term assistance from
the Western World.
Our aid should, of course, be
based upon sound criteria and productive investment. But let us remember
economies need time to mature. Our own Nation, in the days of its youth,
sold railroad bonds to the British and other Europeans - and these were
long-term - 40- or 50-year - debentures. With the growth of our productive
capacity, we gradually became a creditor nation with the ability to repay
these foreign investments. There is no question that the Indians, given
proper assurance and assistance, could do the same.
Many of the other governments
in Asia and the Middle East are now balanced precariously on the wall of
indecision between the East and West. Of course, an adequate program of
aid to India is no magic persuader - nor is it a panacea for all of India's
difficulties. There is no such solution for these tough problems. The barriers
are great. The political and ideological dilemmas are many.
But I am confident that we can
recover the initiative, that we can give a doubting world the realization
that we - and not Russia and China - can help them achieve real stability
and growth.
In short, it is our job to prove
that we can devote as much energy, intelligence, idealism, and sacrifice
to the survival and triumph of the open society as the Russian despots
can extort by compulsion in defense of their closed system of tyranny.
We can give a convincing demonstration that we have not a propaganda or
crisis interest but an enduring long-term interest in the productive economic
growth of the less developed nations.
This year, all over the Western
World - and particularly in an impressive Washington ceremony last month
- we commemorate a notable anniversary, the founding of NATO. Whatever
its handicaps may be today, this unique and historic association of free
nations in a community of effort demonstrated that alliances can prosper
on positive, as well as negative, goals.
Let us bear that decision in
mind today. For, just as in 1949 the historic front was in West Europe,
so in 1959 the gateway to fresh achievement lies in Asia. As Russia cast
her ominous shadow across the horizon of our hopes during the last decade,
so in the next decade we must take measure of a new power - China, whose
mounting strength is the cardinal political development of this area.
How will we meet the challenge
of the next 10 years, between now and 1969? Will we be reminded of a lost
journey which ended with the fall of Prague in the spring of 1939, or the
new vitality of the democratic alliance which was formed in the spring
of 1949?
The answer lies in part in congressional
action, along the lines I have indicated, on the Development Loan Fund,
our best tool for aiding long-range capital development. But the job should
not and cannot be done by the United States alone. We need - as we needed
10 years ago - another historic effort in international collaboration -
among the capital-exporting nations in the world and India herself.
That is why Senator Cooper and
I have recommended the creation of an international joint mission to India
to work out with the Indians an accurate appraisal of their needs over
the life of the third plan, to weave together the various aid programs
of the Western nations, and to give both assurance and incentive not only
to the Indians but to democratic leaders throughout the underdeveloped
world, to demonstrate to them, and to enable them to demonstrate to their
political followers, that there is a democratic way of achieving economic
development as an alternative to the forced mobilization of men and materials.
Once again, the free world can unite on a positive program with positive
goals - instead of hanging together only out of fear of evils which we
all oppose.
Coalitions of free states impose
strains and sometimes handicaps, particularly in a period of peace and
apathy. The allies of the U.S.S.R. and China, on the other hand, are rarely
critical or uncooperative. They are at the very least silently, if grudgingly,
submissive. But in a time of crisis, a free alliance finds unity and strength,
even in the free exchange of ideas - while the Red satellites in a time
of crisis are sources of anxiety, uncertainty, and trouble.
The situation in India is today
a crisis, and it is an opportunity to demonstrate Western unity and strength.
The moment is ripe for giving new meaning to the Atlantic Community and
relating its peaceful enterprises to the aspirations of the uncommitted
world. If the President and Congress give new momentum to our foreign assistance
program, then we can expect with reason that the nations of the Common
Market and the Commonwealth will also give realization to a larger effort
of their own. Both the Secretary General of NATO, Mr. Spaak, and the world
spokesman of the Common Market, Mr. Monnet, have underscored in recent
months that the great issues facing the member nations lie outside Europe
and preeminently in the underdeveloped areas.
The creditor states of Europe
are deeply involved in India's future, as are Japan and other potential
members of this common enterprise. Our task now is to harness all of the
resources of these nations more effectively, and to work out with the Indian
Government the most effective method in participating in their developmental
plans.
If the aid which India has received
from all sources should remain at its current level, the increase in national
income would barely outstrip population growth, bring no significant decreases
in unemployment, increase the alarming deficit of food grains, and require
sharp curbs on private enterprise in that economy.
If, however, foreign investment
in India from all sources can rise to a figure of about $1 billion a year,
then we can foresee with some confidence a growth in Indian income in the
range of 25 to 30 percent as against a 10- to 12-percent growth in population.
Unemployment might be reduced. Provided India takes vigorous measures of
agricultural reform, food supply might finally outpace the increase of
population, and the private sector of the economy would again reflect the
dynamism which it exhibited at the end of the first plan.
But it is not enough merely
to provide sufficient money. Equally important is our attitude and our
understanding. For if we undertake this effort in the wrong spirit, or
for the wrong reasons, or in the wrong way, then any and all financial
measures will be in vain.
I have spoken here today about
India's race with Red China. We want India to win that race. We want India
to be a free and thriving leader of a free and thriving Asia. But if our
interest appears to be purely selfish, anti-Communist, and part of the
cold war, if it appears to the Indian people that our motives are purely
political, then we shall play into the hands of Communist and neutralist
propagandists, cruelly distort America's image abroad, and undo much of
the psychological effect that we expect from our generosity.
We ought to return to the generous
spirit in which the original point 4 program was conceived; stress our
positive interest in, and moral responsibility for, relieving misery and
poverty; and acknowledge to ourselves and the world that, communism or
no communism, we cannot be an island unto ourselves. That alone would do
justice to the innately decent motives from which most Americans do support
foreign aid.
There is considerable talk these
days in Washington about distinguishing between military and economic assistance,
and emphasizing the latter. I join in that endeavor, and consider it of
major importance to the success of this program. But there are other distinctions
which must be made - distinctions which are important to public understanding
of the issues - and important to the self-respect and sensitivity of recipient
nations.
Let us distinguish between lending
a helping hand to countries - such as India - which are carrying forward
their own development and, on the other hand, underwriting the entire economies
of such vital but shaky areas as South Korea, Formosa, and South Vietnam.
In one case, we are providing the all-important missing link in a total
development effort, but in the other, capital development is only an incidental
part of overall budget support.
Secondly, let us distinguish
between aid shipments that are geared to the needs of the recipient countries,
and those which are more geared to our domestic needs to dispose of agricultural
surpluses. Certainly food shipments for famine relief in India and Pakistan
are worthwhile, but where foreign needs and domestic embarrassments do
not happen to coincide so nicely, we should not subordinate needs of the
recipient country to our domestic political conveniences.
Finally, let us distinguish
between foreign aid needed to prop up a faltering friend and aid which
is part of a comprehensive, long-range foreign economic policy.
Foreign aid is important to
most under-developed countries; but for some of them the real life-and-death
question is markets for their export commodities; compared to that foreign
aid receipts are often desirable incidentals. Many underdeveloped countries,
if they had to choose between foreign aid and stable markets, would choose
the latter.
The one-commodity nations, such
as Bolivia and Ghana, are particularly affected by our business conditions
and market policies, but even nations such as India are concerned about
the economic cycle in this Nation, about our plans for commodity stabilization,
and about our hopes for reciprocal trade agreements with more predictable
tariff procedures.
All of this, by way of attitude
and action, can be done, and must be done.
The free world cannot shame
Russia and China into freedom, but it can inspire democracy to enrich its
own freedoms. Freedom's banner will be vindicated or lost not by the test
of military strength alone, but by the purity and passion of our commitment
to democracy, by our dedication to the advancing hopes of new nations,
and by our determination to provide that freedom can lift the haggard burden
of poverty from desolate lands. We have not yet conquered the frontiers
of fear. But neither have we yet fully explored the horizons of hope.